Please @Hutch_Robin look at the overall data when you can, we’re at 8 S in 61 Titanium packs right now. Even after accounting for reporting bias that’s a highly unlikely outcome.

Please @Hutch_Robin look at the overall data when you can, we’re at 8 S in 61 Titanium packs right now. Even after accounting for reporting bias that’s a highly unlikely outcome.

Please @Hutch_Robin look at the overall data when you can, we’re at 8 S in 61 Titanium packs right now. Even after accounting for reporting bias that’s a highly unlikely outcome.

If the Chi² calculator i found online is working correctly, the p-value for that result is 0.037, a p value smaller than 0.05 usually indicates that there is a statistical significant difference between the observed values and those we would theoretically expect. Now this is good enough to raise concerns, however, given that the method is quite shaky, I am still not convinced.

Please @Hutch_Robin look at the overall data when you can, we’re at 8 S in 61 Titanium packs right now. Even after accounting for reporting bias that’s a highly unlikely outcome.

If the Chi² calculator i found online is working correctly, the p-value for that result is 0.037, a p value smaller than 0.05 usually indicates that there is a statistical significant difference between the observed values and those we would theoretically expect. Now this is good enough to raise concerns, however, given that the method is quite shaky, I am still not convinced.

Rule #1 of Top Drives. Don't trust what ANYONE posts in Discord, Reddit or the IGF regarding what cars they won, how the won them, or from what packs they won them. There have been countless boasts that were proven wrong from simple investigation. Why people need to lie so much I will never understand.

If the Chi² calculator i found online is working correctly, the p-value for that result is 0.037, a p value smaller than 0.05 usually indicates that there is a statistical significant difference between the observed values and those we would theoretically expect. Now this is good enough to raise concerns, however, given that the method is quite shaky, I am still not convinced.

Rule #1 of Top Drives. Don't trust what ANYONE posts in Discord, Reddit or the IGF regarding what cars they won, how the won them, or from what packs they won them. There have been countless boasts that were proven wrong from simple investigation. Why people need to lie so much I will never understand.

Mikes, this is exactly what I'm referring to, when I say that the method is "quite shaky".

(By the way, how do you count those who got 2 titanium packs as it is claimed here and there?)

If the Chi² calculator i found online is working correctly, the p-value for that result is 0.037, a p value smaller than 0.05 usually indicates that there is a statistical significant difference between the observed values and those we would theoretically expect. Now this is good enough to raise concerns, however, given that the method is quite shaky, I am still not convinced.

Rule #1 of Top Drives. Don't trust what ANYONE posts in Discord, Reddit or the IGF regarding what cars they won, how the won them, or from what packs they won them. There have been countless boasts that were proven wrong from simple investigation. Why people need to lie so much I will never understand.

Mikes, this is exactly what I'm referring to, when I say that the method is "quite shaky".

(By the way, how do you count those who got 2 titanium packs as it is claimed here and there?)

I count it as 2 packs, have only added two of those though (1 S in 4 packs)

got two pretty lame epics in my titanium pack, rq23 gmc yukon and rq26 audi rs4 avant. ragebought a ceramic for the 50,000 i got and pulled a rq29 2013 porsche 911 turbo. not a great legend, but very very rare for a single ceramic.

Just saying, 25% chances of getting an legendary doesn’t mean that 1 in 4 gets a legendary. It’s means that every pack on its own has a chance of 25%.

Compare it with a dice. You have 1 out of 6 chances that you throw a 6, but you can throw the dice 100 times and still not get a six.

These drop rates are calculated in chances, not in certainties to get what a chance might be.

But throwing that dice 100 times you would expect to throw 16,67 times a 6 [100x(1:6)] And opening 100 titanium packs you would expect to get 25 legendaries (100×0,25) So techincally it DOES mean 1 of 4 gets a legendary But it Doesnt mean you will get a legendary every 4 Packs. Probably you mixed something up here

So to come back to that dice: ofc you can thow it 100 times and dont get a single 6 but throwing it 1038292959205 times you would get ver close to 16,67% sixes Same goes for the titanium packs

Last count I saw they were on 8 from 61, they should be on 15, so just over half what they expect. However the sample size is way to small to be of any use so far.

Lol at all the people having concerns about the data. I know six other players in my bracket who all posted screens as soon as they got the pack, me included 7x double epics. In two other groups i have seen way over 35 screens posted, and its not some random internet people but the guys that take t1 from you. So i can confirm the bad pulls, tho it could mean nothing but bad luck.

The fact that quite some people received 2x titan packs is annyoying to every other player. Good for the lucky guys, too bad this happens with THE special pack. (Soon to buy for 15k gold)

You can add me to the list of not getting a legendary from my titanium pack. 2 rq19 that I already had, an rq18 Touran that I have had loads of times, RQ 23 Bentley Continental GT and an Audi rs5 Cabrio. The Audi is the only keeper for me.

You can add me to the list of not getting a legendary from my titanium pack. 2 rq19 that I already had, an rq18 Touran that I have had loads of times, RQ 23 Bentley Continental GT and an Audi rs5 Cabrio. The Audi is the only keeper for me.

Keep in mind that that audi has negative mra since the last "buff"

Just saying, 25% chances of getting an legendary doesn’t mean that 1 in 4 gets a legendary. It’s means that every pack on its own has a chance of 25%.

Compare it with a dice. You have 1 out of 6 chances that you throw a 6, but you can throw the dice 100 times and still not get a six.

These drop rates are calculated in chances, not in certainties to get what a chance might be.

But throwing that dice 100 times you would expect to throw 16,67 times a 6 [100x(1:6)] And opening 100 titanium packs you would expect to get 25 legendaries (100×0,25) So techincally it DOES mean 1 of 4 gets a legendary But it Doesnt mean you will get a legendary every 4 Packs. Probably you mixed something up here

So to come back to that dice: ofc you can thow it 100 times and dont get a single 6 but throwing it 1038292959205 times you would get ver close to 16,67% sixes Same goes for the titanium packs

First of all that Titanium Event was a really nice idea, props for that.

But, the outcome did break me and possibly many others. After pulling only 3 Legendaries in 213 CFs I was more than hyped for that Titanium Pack. 2 Weeks of pre-work & hype, then 3 days of playing almost every single ticket and putting 2 fuses in 2 seperately Legendaries. All this for what? NOTHING. Never was I so demotivated like now. And to top everything, I now know of a huge amount of people who pulled several Titanium Packs because of the sever error.

I don't want to accuse anbyody that the drop rates were deceived, I'm just sharing our "verified" amount of S per pack ratio. It's a laughable amount of 17/90. I couldn't care less if you go ahead and check if the drop rate was correct because we can't verify anything. What I want is an answer about the server error and therefore the multiple awarded Titanium Packs. @Hutch_Robin@Hutch_Tim

Don't take it wrong, but with the lack of your engagement here on the forum, I don't even know if I should ping you @Hutch_Katie

I haven't played a single ticket since the event ended. I have Zero interest in the game right now. The Forum is dying. There is no active discussion coming from Hutch regarding the topic of Car Inflation. The game feels more like a cash grab from day to day with an insane amount of 30 CFs for offer. I could go on and on...

Let's see how the next days turn out. I have a feeling that this was the last straw for me...

## Comments

111✭✭✭1,927✭✭✭✭✭1,570✭✭✭✭✭355✭✭✭+350 trophies lol

- One stupid SR (RQ18) : Honda Pilot 4WD

- One **** UR (RQ19): Chevrolet Cobalt SS

Clearly didn't deserve the time I spent on this event. I should rather have went for the double Ceramic, which would also have been easier lol.

298✭✭✭4,368✭✭✭✭✭548✭✭✭If the Chi² calculator i found online is working correctly, the p-value for that result is 0.037, a p value smaller than 0.05 usually indicates that there is a statistical significant difference between the observed values and those we would theoretically expect. Now this is good enough to raise concerns, however, given that the method is quite shaky, I am still not convinced.

4,368✭✭✭✭✭548✭✭✭1,570✭✭✭✭✭1,570✭✭✭✭✭4,368✭✭✭✭✭1,570✭✭✭✭✭the only dodgy data is the 11 packs @kolov7 posted.

223✭✭✭ragebought a ceramic for the 50,000 i got and pulled a rq29 2013 porsche 911 turbo. not a great legend, but very very rare for a single ceramic.

338✭✭✭35✭These drop rates are calculated in chances, not in certainties to get what a chance might be.

298✭✭✭And opening 100 titanium packs you would expect to get 25 legendaries (100×0,25)

So techincally it DOES mean 1 of 4 gets a legendary

But it Doesnt mean you will get a legendary every 4 Packs. Probably you mixed something up here

So to come back to that dice: ofc you can thow it 100 times and dont get a single 6 but throwing it 1038292959205 times you would get ver close to 16,67% sixes

Same goes for the titanium packs

1,817✭✭✭✭✭However the sample size is way to small to be of any use so far.

1,927✭✭✭✭✭14✭298✭✭✭7,654✭✭✭✭✭Note: You're still going to end up with a sample size too small.

1,927✭✭✭✭✭7,654✭✭✭✭✭1,927✭✭✭✭✭552✭✭✭✭7,654✭✭✭✭✭35✭1,940✭✭✭✭✭968✭✭✭✭✭